Future value
What will your car be worth?
What it will be worth in 1, 2, 3, 5 and 8 years based on its engine and the km you drive, what it loses each year and each month, and from when it stops falling so fast. Without leaving your details.
Your car
What your car will be worth
EstimateWhat it's worth today
15.800 €
In 2031, 5 years from now
11.600 €
Keeps 73 % of today's value
Next year it loses
1.000 €
83 € a month
On average it loses 750 € a year, 63 € a month, over the next 8 years. It loses more in the first years and less later.
In 5 years (2031)
11.600 €
That year it loses 700 € (−6 %)
For the tax office (19 % of its new price)
4.294 €
- What you'll get for it (market)
- Tax office value (taxes only)
See the year-by-year table
| Year | Age | Km | Market | Loses that year | Tax office |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today (2026) | 4 years | 60.000 | 15.800 € | – | 10.622 € (47 %) |
| 2027 | 5 years | 75.000 | 14.800 € | 1.000 € (−6 %) | 8.814 € (39 %) |
| 2028 | 6 years | 90.000 | 13.900 € | 900 € (−6 %) | 7.684 € (34 %) |
| 2029 | 7 years | 105.000 | 13.100 € | 800 € (−6 %) | 6.328 € (28 %) |
| 2030 | 8 years | 120.000 | 12.300 € | 800 € (−6 %) | 5.424 € (24 %) |
| 2031 | 9 years | 135.000 | 11.600 € | 700 € (−6 %) | 4.294 € (19 %) |
| 2032 | 10 years | 150.000 | 11.000 € | 600 € (−5 %) | 3.842 € (17 %) |
| 2033 | 11 years | 165.000 | 10.400 € | 600 € (−5 %) | 2.938 € (13 %) |
| 2034 | 12 years | 180.000 | 9.800 € | 600 € (−6 %) | 2.260 € (10 %) |
It's the average depreciation in the Spanish market for its engine, with the km it does and in normal condition. It doesn't come from real listings: some models hold their value better and others worse.
When to sell it?
The worst is over
The steep drop ended when it turned 4 years old. Since then it has lost less each year than the average of its first 10 years (1.200 €): as far as value goes, there's no rush to sell. Next year it will lose around 1.000 €.
This only looks at the loss of value. Keeping it longer also has costs: servicing, tyres and an ITV inspection every year from age 10.
And with another engine?
A car of its size (family hatchbacks) with the same age and km, at the typical new price for each engine. What it keeps in 5 years:
- Petrolyoursnew 22.600 € · loses 840 € a yearkeeps 51 %
- Dieselnew 23.400 € · loses 840 € a yearkeeps 50 %
- Hybridnew 26.900 € · loses 1.100 € a yearkeeps 55 %
- Plug-in hybridnew 36.000 € · loses 1.240 € a yearkeeps 47 %
- Electricnew 29.500 € · loses 840 € a yearkeeps 40 %
What it keeps, as a share of its new price. According to Ganvam, at 3 years an electric car is worth 23 % less than a petrol one; a plug-in hybrid, 9 % less, and a hybrid, 8 % more.
What it will be worth to the tax office
For taxes onlyIt's not what you'll get for it. The tax office takes the new price from its tables (22.600 €) and multiplies it by a fixed percentage depending on age: today, 47 %; in 2031, 19 %. It's the minimum base for ITP (transfer tax) if you sell it to a private buyer and for Inheritance and Gift Tax. It ignores mileage and condition, and from 12 years on it stays at 10 %.
How we calculate it
The same curve as the valuation, looking ahead
The market curve
What a car of each age keeps on the Spanish used market (Ganvam and Audatex), adjusted by engine: hybrids hold up better and electric cars worse. The engine adjustment phases in over the first 3 years and then stays.
Your mileage
Each year we add the km you say you'll drive and compare with what's normal for its age (15,000 a year): 2% for every 10,000 km of difference, with caps. We assume normal condition. If you know what it's worth today, we fit the whole curve to that value.
The tax office, separately
The tax office value is the new price from its tables times a fixed percentage depending on age (100 %, 84 %, 67 %, 56 %, 47 %…). We show it because it's the base for ITP and Inheritance Tax, but it's not what you'll get for it.
What a car bought new keeps, by engine
As a share of what it cost, with 15,000 km a year and sold to a private buyer.
| Engine | 1 year | 2 years | 3 years | 5 years | 8 years | Levels off at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrol | 90 % | 83 % | 76 % | 65 % | 54 % | 4 years |
| Diesel | 89 % | 81 % | 74 % | 64 % | 53 % | 4 years |
| Hybrid | 92 % | 87 % | 82 % | 71 % | 59 % | 5 years |
| Plug-in hybrid | 87 % | 78 % | 69 % | 60 % | 49 % | 3 years |
| Electric | 83 % | 70 % | 59 % | 50 % | 42 % | 3 years |
“Levels off”: from that age on it loses less each year than the average of its first 10 years. LPG and diesel hybrids follow the petrol curve.
Sources
- Índice Ganvam-DATAt 3 years old, a petrol car with 60,000 km keeps 60% of its price; a hybrid, 68%; an electric car, 48% (end of 2025).
- GanvamAt 3 years old: hybrid 70.8%, petrol 67%, diesel 65%, plug-in hybrid 61% and electric around 50% (May 2025).
- AudatexA car used to lose 18% in the first year, 41% by year 3 and 59% by year 5 (2014). Used cars are more expensive today, so we adjust it upwards.
- Barómetro VN Coches.com/GanvamAverage discount on a new car's list price: 14.4% (April 2026). We use it to go from the tax office (Hacienda) price to the list price.
- Orden HAC/1501/2025, de 17 de diciembreHacienda's average sale prices and percentages by age for ITP and Inheritance and Gift Tax.
The curve, the mileage adjustment and the point where it levels off are our own estimates based on this data. Nobody knows the future: if incentives, taxes or the market change, so will what it's worth.
By model
What the best-selling cars will be worth
Dacia Sandero
Renault Clio
MG ZS
Seat Ibiza
Hyundai Tucson
Toyota Corolla- Seat Arona
Peugeot 2008- Peugeot 208
- Toyota C-HR
Nissan Qashqai- Toyota Yaris Cross
- Renault Captur
Volkswagen T-Roc
Opel Corsa- Seat León
- Toyota Yaris
Kia Sportage- Hyundai Kona
- Volkswagen Taigo
- Dacia Duster
- Kia Stonic
Citroën C4- Toyota RAV4
- Volkswagen Tiguan
Mercedes-Benz GLC- Hyundai i20
BMW X1- Volkswagen T-Cross
- Renault Austral
- Citroën C3
Skoda Kamiq
Omoda 5- Kia Niro
- MG HS
Ford Kuga- Ford Puma
- Skoda Fabia
BYD Seal U- Nissan Juke
Tesla Model 3
Cupra Formentor- MG MG3
Audi A3- Mercedes-Benz GLA
- Cupra León
Jaecoo 7- Peugeot 3008
- Audi Q3
Jeep Avenger
Volvo XC40- Skoda Karoq
Mazda CX-30- Volkswagen Golf
- Renault Symbioz
- Mercedes-Benz Clase A
Ebro s700- Renault Arkana
- Audi A1
- Hyundai i10
Questions
Frequently asked questions
How much value does a car lose each year?+
The most in the first year: a petrol car bought new loses around 10 % of what it cost. After that it falls more slowly: at 3 years it keeps 76 % and at 8, 54 %, with 15,000 km a year. In euros, each year it loses less than the year before because the car is already worth less.
When is the best time to sell your car?+
If you only look at the loss of value, when the curve levels off: the year from which it loses less than the average of its first 10 years. For a petrol car that's at 4 years; for an electric car, at 3, and for a hybrid, at 5. Selling earlier means selling on the steepest part of the drop. After that, each extra year takes little value off, but servicing and the ITV inspection go up.
Do electric cars lose more value?+
Yes, for now. According to Ganvam data, at 3 years an electric car is worth 23 % less than a petrol car of the same age and a plug-in hybrid 9 % less, while a hybrid is worth 8 % more. So, at the same price, an electric car loses more euros each year.
How much does mileage affect what it will be worth?+
We count 2% less for every 10,000 km above normal (15,000 a year) and 2% more for every 10,000 below, capped at 25% less and 12% more. If you drive a lot, your car will lose a bit more each year than average.
Why does the tax office value fall so fast?+
Because it's a fixed table for collecting taxes (Orden HAC/1501/2025): the new price times 100 %, 84 %, 67 %, 56 %, 47 %, 39 %… depending on age, without looking at the market. At 10 years it puts the car at 17 %, far less than what people pay for a used one. It's only used for ITP and for Inheritance and Gift Tax.